Population projection by scenario, year of age and local authority, for the 4 scenarios described in the project methodology for years 2017-2040. https://www.esri.ie/publications/regional-demographics-and-structural-housing-demand-at-a-county-level

The 4 scenarios are:

Baseline/Business as usual – based on medium term projections for the economy with an underlying assumption that net inwards migration would converge to 15,000 p.a. by 2024 and remain at that level throughout the projection horizon.

50:50 City – based on a similar outlook in terms of net inwards migration but whereby population growth is distributed in line with the objectives of the National Planning Framework (See National Policy Objectives 1a and 2a of https://npf.ie/wp-content/uploads/Project-Ireland-2040-NPF.pdf)

High Migration – assumes that net inwards migration stays at an elevated level throughout the projection horizon (net inwards migration of 30,000 p.a)

Low Migration - assumes that net inwards migration falls to net inwards migration of 5,000 by 2022 before converging back to the business as usual levels (i.e. net inwards migration of 15,000 p.a.) by 2027 and remaining at that level thereafter.

Data Resources (3)

JSON
ESRI Population Projections by Local Authority.json
CSV
ESRI Population Projections by Local Authority.csv
XML
ESRI Population Projections by Local Authority.xml

Data Resource Preview - ESRI Population Projections by Local Authority.csv

Data Owner Open Data Liaison Officer
Data Owner Email opendata@housing.gov.ie
Theme Housing
Date released 2021-02-09
Language English
Landing page https://opendata.housing.gov.ie/dataset/7b43e71f-374a-4c0f-845c-80362d427457